Intermittent Demand Forecasting. John E. Boylan
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Table of Contents
1 Cover
5 Preface
6 Glossary
8 1 Economic and Environmental Context 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Economic and Environmental Benefits 1.3 Intermittent Demand Forecasting Software 1.4 About this Book 1.5 Chapter Summary Technical Note
9 2 Inventory Management and Forecasting 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Scheduling and Forecasting 2.3 Should an Item Be Stocked at All? 2.4 Inventory Control Requirements 2.5 Overview of Stock Rules 2.6 Chapter Summary Technical Notes
10 3 Service Level Measures 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Judgemental Ordering 3.3 Aggregate Financial and Service Targets 3.4 Service Measures at SKU Level 3.5 Calculating Cycle Service Levels 3.6 Calculating Fill Rates 3.7 Setting Service Level Targets 3.8 Chapter Summary Technical Note
11 4 Demand Distributions 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Estimation of Demand Distributions 4.3 Criteria for Demand Distributions 4.4 Poisson Distribution 4.5 Poisson Demand Distribution 4.6 Incidence and Occurrence 4.7 Poisson Demand Incidence Distribution 4.8 Bernoulli Demand Occurrence Distribution 4.9 Chapter Summary Technical Notes
12 5 Compound Demand Distributions 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Compound Poisson Distributions 5.3 Stuttering Poisson Distribution 5.4 Negative Binomial Distribution 5.5 Compound Bernoulli Distributions 5.6 Compound Erlang Distributions 5.7 Differing Time Units 5.8 Chapter Summary Technical Notes
13 6 Forecasting Mean Demand 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Demand Assumptions 6.3 Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) 6.4 Croston's Critique of SES 6.5 Croston's Method 6.6 Critique of Croston's Method 6.7 Syntetos–Boylan Approximation 6.8 Aggregation for Intermittent Demand 6.9 Empirical Studies 6.10 Chapter Summary Technical Notes
14 7 Forecasting the Variance of Demand and Forecast Error 7.1 Introduction 7.2 Mean Known, Variance Unknown 7.3 Mean Unknown, Variance Unknown 7.4 Lead Time Variability 7.5 Chapter Summary Technical Notes
15 8 Inventory Settings 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Normal Demand 8.3 Poisson Demand 8.4 Compound Poisson Demand