Top Stocks 2016. Roth Martin

Top Stocks 2016 - Roth Martin


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receives emails from readers enquiring why a profit figure in this book is so different from that reported elsewhere. In virtually all cases the reason is that I have stripped out a significant item.

Earnings per share

      Earnings per share is the after-tax profit divided by the number of shares. Because the profit figure is for a 12-month period the number of shares used is a weighted average of those on issue during the year. This number is provided by the company in its annual report and its results announcements.

Cash flow per share

      The cash flow per share ratio tells – in theory – how much actual cash the company has generated from its operations.

      In fact, the ratio in this book is not exactly a true measure of cash flow. It is simply the company's depreciation and amortisation figures for the year added to the after-tax profit, and then divided by a weighted average of the number of shares. Depreciation and amortisation are expenses that do not actually utilise cash, so can be added back to after-tax profit to give a kind of indication of the company's cash flow.

      By contrast, a true cash flow – including such items as newly raised capital and money received from the sale of assets – would require quite complex calculations based on the company's statement of cash flows.

      However, many analysts use the ratio as I present it, because it is easy to calculate, and it is certainly a useful guide to how much funding the company has available from its operations.

Dividend

      The dividend figure is the total for the year, interim and final. It does not include special dividends. The level of franking is also provided.

Net tangible assets per share

      The NTA-per-share figure tells the theoretical value of the company – per share – if all assets were sold and then all liabilities paid. It is very much a theoretical figure, as there is no guarantee that corporate assets are really worth the price put on them in the balance sheet. Intangible assets such as goodwill, newspaper mastheads and patent rights are excluded because of the difficulty in putting a sales price on them, and also because they may in fact not have much value if separated from the company.

      As already noted, some companies in this book have a negative NTA, due to the fact that their intangible assets are so great, and no figure can be listed for them.

      Where a company's most recent financial results are the half-year figures, these are used to calculate this ratio.

Interest cover

      The interest cover ratio indicates how many times a company could make its interest payments from its pre-tax profit. A rough rule of thumb says a ratio of at least three times is desirable. Below that and fast-rising interest rates could imperil profits. The ratio is derived by dividing the EBIT figure by net interest payments. Some fortunate companies have interest receipts that are higher than their interest payments, which turns the interest cover into a negative figure, and so it is not listed.

Return on equity

      Return on equity is the after-tax profit expressed as a percentage of the shareholders' equity. In theory, it is the amount that the company's managers have made for you – the shareholder – on your money. The shareholders' equity figure used is an average for the year.

Debt-to-equity ratio

      This ratio is one of the best-known measures of a company's debt levels. It is total borrowings minus the company's cash holdings, expressed as a percentage of the shareholders' equity. Some companies have no debt at all, or their cash position is greater than their level of debt, which results in a negative ratio, so no figure is listed for them.

      Where a company's most recent financial results are the half-year figures, these are used to calculate this ratio.

Current ratio

      The current ratio is simply the company's current assets divided by its current liabilities. Current assets are cash or assets that can, in theory, be converted quickly into cash. Current liabilities are normally those payable within a year. Thus, the current ratio measures the ability of a company to repay in a hurry its short-term debt, should the need arise. The surplus of current assets over current liabilities is referred to as the company's working capital.

      Where a company's most recent financial results are the half-year figures, these are used to calculate this ratio.

Banks

      The tables for the banks are somewhat different from those for most other companies. EBIT and debt-to-equity ratios have little relevance for them, as they have such high interest payments (to their customers). Other differences are examined below.

Operating income

      Operating income is used instead of sales revenues. Operating income is the bank's net interest income – that is, its total interest income minus its interest expense – plus other income, such as bank fees, fund management fees and income from businesses such as corporate finance and insurance.

Net interest income

      Banks borrow money – that is, they accept deposits from savers – and they lend it to businesses, homebuyers and other borrowers. They charge the borrowers more than they pay those who deposit money with them, and the difference is known as net interest income.

Operating expenses

      These are all the costs of running the bank. Banks have high operating expenses, and one of the keys to profit growth is cutting these expenses. Add the provision for doubtful debts to operating expenses, then deduct the total from operating income, and you get the pre-tax profit.

Non-interest income to total income

      Banks have traditionally made most of their income from savers and from lending out money. But they are also working to diversify into new fields, and this ratio is an indication of their success.

Cost-to-income ratio

      As noted, the banks have high costs – numerous branches, expensive computer systems, many staff, and so on – and they are all striving to reduce these. The cost-to-income ratio expresses their expenses as a percentage of their operating income, and is one of the ratios most often used as a gauge of efficiency. The lower the ratio drops the better.

Return on assets

      Banks have enormous assets, in sharp contrast to, say, a high-tech start-up whose main physical assets may be little more than a set of computers and other technological equipment. So the return on assets – the after-tax profit expressed as a percentage of the year's average total assets – is another measure of efficiency.

      PART I

      The companies

      1300 Smiles Limited

      Townsville-based 1300 SMILES, founded in 2000, runs a chain of more than two dozen dental practices in 10 cities and towns in Queensland, and has also expanded to South Australia and New South Wales. Its main role is the provision of dental surgeries and practice management services to self-employed dentists, allowing them to focus on dental services. It also manages its own small dental business. The founder and managing director, Dr Daryl Holmes, owns nearly 60 per cent of the company equity.

Latest business results (June 2015, full year)

      Revenues and profits rebounded strongly from the decline of the previous year, with a noteworthy contribution from BOH Dental, which was acquired in May 2014. The company reported that its subscription-based Dental Care Plan has become a core part of its business. During the year it also launched a new product, dental vouchers for patients requiring extensive treatment but wishing to spread payment over an extended period, and it reported strong initial demand for these. 1300 SMILES also reports what it calls over-the-counter revenues, which represent the amount actually received by its dentistry businesses before the deduction of patient fees by self-employed dentists. On this basis – which the company believes gives a fairer measure of the scale of its operations than its reported statutory sales figure – total company revenues rose to $53.2 million in June 2015, from $43.3 million in the previous year.

Outlook

      The dental business in Australia is fragmented, with a majority of dentists working in their own private practices. A gradual consolidation is taking place, with 1300 SMILES one of the leaders in this work. It buys dental practices, then retains the dentists, who pay a fee to


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