Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists. Franco Taroni

Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists

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Models 7.9 Bayes' Factor and Likelihood Ratio (cont.) Notes

16 8 Assessment of the Performance of Methods for the Evaluation of Evidence 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Properties of Methods for Evaluation 8.3 General Topics Relating to Sample Size Estimation and to Assessment 8.4 Assessment of Performance of a Procedure for the Calculation of the Likelihood Ratio 8.5 Case Study: Kinship Analysis 8.6 Conclusion Notes

17 A AProbability DistributionsProbability Distributions A.1 Introduction A.2 Probability Distributions for Counts A.3 Measurements Notes

18 B BMatrix PropertiesMatrix Properties B.1 Matrix Terminology

22 Author Index

23 Subject Index

24 End User License Agreement

List of Tables

1 Chapter 1Table 1.1 Genotypic relative frequencies for locusLDLR amongst Caucasians in ...Table 1.2 Refractive index measurements.Table 1.3 Presence and absence of diffuse vascular injuries (DVI) and diffuse...Table 1.4 Genotype probabilities, assuming Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium, for a ...

2 Chapter 2Table 2.1 Two‐by‐two contingency table for frequencies for the tabulation of ...Table 2.2 Two‐by‐two contingency table for probabilities for the tabulation o...Table 2.3 Two‐by‐two contingency table for artificial frequencies for the tab...Table 2.4 Hypothetical results for deaths amongst a population.Table 2.5 Frequency of fingerprint characteristics by gender and handedness e...Table 2.6 Effect on prior odds in favour of

with...Table 2.7 Value of the evidence for each genotype, given genotypic relative f...Table 2.8 Qualitative scale for reporting the valueV of the support of the ev...Table 2.9 Verbal scale of support

for a null hypothesis NH proposed by Jeffr...Table 2.10 Verbal scale of support for a likelihood ratio

proposed by Nordga...Table 2.11 The values of the logarithm of the posterior odds in favour of an ...Table 2.12 Probability

of at least one match, given a relative frequency of ...Table 2.13 Evidence occurs with

.Table 2.14 The probability,

, of at least one match with the evidence, which ...Table 2.15 The ‘

’ loss function, for

.Table 2.16 Loss function for the Bayesian decision network shown in Figure 2....

3 Chapter 3Table 3.1 Probabilities for various characteristics of the couple observed in...Table 3.2 Allelic frequencies for TPOX locus for Swiss and NZ Caucasians and ...Table 3.3 Allelic frequencies for TH01 locus for Swiss and NZ Caucasians and ...Table 3.4 Significance probabilities

for refractive index

of glass for mea...Table 3.5 Variation in the likelihood ratio

, as given by (3.7), with sample ...

4 Chapter 4Table 4.1 Probability that the proportion of drugs in a large consignment is ...Table 4.2 The sample size required to be

% certain that the proportion of uni...Table 4.3 Probabilities all

inspected units contain drugs for

in a populat...Table 4.4 Definitions of nodes used in the Bayesian network shown in Figure 4...Table 4.5 Definitions of nodes used in the Bayesian networks shown in Figure ...Table 4.6 Estimates of quantities

of drugs, in a consignment of

units, acc...Table 4.7 Estimates of quantities

of drugs, in a consignment of

units, acc...Table 4.8 Sensitivity of the optimal decision on the alcohol level (g/kg) to ...Table 4.9 Definitions of

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