Equity Markets, Valuation, and Analysis. H. Kent Baker

Equity Markets, Valuation, and Analysis - H. Kent Baker


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href="#ulink_d740fa7a-1156-5edb-bc87-089518819d93">Figure 3.9 shows, the DJIA, another proxy for the market in general, rose 11.67 percent annually on average between 2009 and 2019. This result suggests that while stock returns vary over time, the market's general long-term trend is up, not down. Although market returns periodically fall, these declines generally occur less frequently and for shorter durations than the rising movements.

Graph depicts the Recent Annual Returns on the Dow Jones Industrial Average between 2010 and 2019.

      This figure shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average between 2010 and 2019.

      Note: Daily returns between 2010 and 2019 are unadjusted for any seasonal effect and were last updated on August 28, 2019.

      Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (2019b).

      Up to this point, the chapter focuses on an equity investment from the investor's perspective. However, examining the implications of choosing stock (equity) financing or debt (bond) financing from a firm's perspective is also important. Stocks and bonds represent two distinct financing choices for firms.

      When a firm sells equity to investors, it sells a firm's ownership and control, providing stockholders with ownership or an ownership claim on both the firm's assets and earnings. As owners, common stockholders have a right to some control over the organization as provided via their right to vote on important issues. Shareholders receive residual claims of assets and earnings after other stakeholders are paid.

      Alternatively, debt interest and principal payments are legal obligations. If a firm fails to pay periodic interest or principal, it is technically in default of a contractual obligation and faces the possibility of bankruptcy or reorganization, a process in which the firm's ownership may be transferred from shareholders to debtholders by a court order.

      Equity investments provide investors with a claim of ownership and a residual claim on assets and cash flows. An efficient equity market enables firms to obtain funds at lower costs than in an inefficient market and to borrow funds at lower costs. Lower costs with fixed-cost debt financing can magnify earnings, thus providing even more economic benefit than possible with variable-cost equity funding.

      When an economy is strong, the magnification of earnings can lead to more demand for products and services, which in turn leads to higher employment and, ultimately, greater consumer spending as well as consumer and business investment. Under these conditions, the economy continues to grow. When an economy is weak, leverage, which is a mechanism that magnifies gains in a boom and losses in a recession, can magnify losses through the following chain: demand for products and services falls, employment situations worsen, and both business and consumer investments decline as a result of less consumer spending.

      In conclusion, the financial markets and the economy are related. Good economic conditions lead to investment and growth, while weak economies lead to reductions in investment funding and lower growth.

      1 Explain at least two ways to classify financial markets.

      2 Discuss why the equity market is important to the economy.

      3 Define and differentiate between at least two of the equity market indices used as market indicators.

      4 Explain the difference between liquidity and marketability for a financial market.

      5 Define financial market efficiency.

      6 Define and differentiate among the weak form, semi-strong form, and strong form levels of market efficiency.

      1 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Industrial Production Index [INDPRO]. 2019. Available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/INDPRO.

      2 Busse, Jeffrey A., and Clifton T. Green. 2002. “Market Efficiency in Real Time.” Journal of Financial Economics 65:3, 415–437.

      3 Diamond, Douglas. 1989. “Reputation Acquisition in Debt Markets.” Journal of Political Economy 97:4, 828–862.

      4 Duff & Phelps, LLC. 2019. “2019 Cost of Capital: Annual U.S. Guidance and Examples.” Chapter 2, Cost of Capital Navigator. Available at www.duffandphelps.com.

      5 Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1993. “Common Risk Factors in Returns on Stocks and Bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics 33:1, 3–56.

      6 Givoly, Dan, and Dan Palmon. 1985. “Insider Trading and Exploitation of Inside Information: Some Empirical Evidence.” Journal of Business 58:1, 69–87.

      7 International Monetary Fund. 2019. “General Government Revenue, Interest Income for United States [USAGGROPI]. Available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USAGGROPI.

      8 Jaffe, Jeffrey T. 1974. “Special Information and Insider Trading.” Journal of Business 47:3, 410–428.

      9 Kendall, Maurice. 1953. “The Analysis of Economic Time Series, Part I: Prices.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 116:1, 11–34.

      10 NASDAQ OMX Group. 2019. “NASDAQ Composite Index [NASDAQCOM].” Available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NASDAQCOM.

      11 Pastor, Lubos, and Robert F. Stambaugh. 2002a. “Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Political Economy 111:3, 642–685.

      12 Pastor, Lubos, and Robert F. Stambaugh. 2002b. “Mutual Fund Performance and Seemingly Unrelated Assets.” Journal of Financial Economics 63:3, 315–349.

      13 Patell, James, and Mark A. Wolfson. 1984. “The Intraday Speed of Adjustment of Stock Prices to Earnings and Dividend Announcements.” Journal of Financial Economics 13:2, 223–252.

      14 Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. 2019. Thomson Reuters. Available at www.sifma.org.

      15 Seyhun, H. Nejat. 1986. “Insiders' Profits, Costs of Trading and Market Efficiency.” Journal of Financial Economics 16:2, 189–212.

      16 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. 2019a. “Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).” Available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DJIA.

      17 S&P


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