The Israel Test. George Gilder

      CHAPTER THREE

       The Economics of Settlement

      A prime cause of Mideast tensions and turmoil, according to the international media, are Israeli “settlers.” According to the prevailing “narrative”, they are strange extremists who reside illegitimately in the “occupied territories” of the West Bank. Even such celebrated and fervent supporters of Israel as Alan Dershowitz and Bernard-Henri Levy deem the settlers beyond the pale of their Zionist sympathies.

      As is his wont, Lester Brown of the Worldwatch Institute adds to these political concerns a coming environmental catastrophe, also presumably aggravated by the Israeli settlers and their hydrophilic irrigation projects. He sees the Middle East as direly threatened by the growth of population and the exhaustion of water resources. The Institute explains: “Since one ton of grain represents 1,000 tons of water, [importing grain] becomes the most efficient way to import water. Last year, Iran imported 7 million tons of wheat, eclipsing Japan to become the world’s leading wheat importer. This year, Egypt is also projected to move ahead of Japan. The water required to produce the grain and other foodstuffs imported into [the region] last year was roughly equal to the annual flow of the Nile River.”

      Although these two concerns might seem unrelated, they converge in the history of Israel, a modern nation-state created by several generations of settlers and constrained at every point by the dearth of water in a predominantly desert land. In the mid-19th century, before the arrival of that century’s cohort of Jewish settlers fleeing pogroms in Russia and Ukraine, Arabs living in the British Mandate of Palestine – now Israel, the West Bank and Gaza – numbered between 200,000 and 300,000. Their population density and longevity resembled today’s conditions in parched and depopulated Saharan Chad. Although Worldwatch might prefer to see the Middle East returned to the more Earth-friendly and sustainable demographics of Chad, the fact that some 5.5 million Arabs now live in the former British Mandate, with a life expectancy of more than 70 years, is mainly attributable, for better or worse, to the work of those Jewish settlers.

      Chronicling the origins of this Jewish feat in 1939, nine years before the creation of the modern state of Israel, was one of the little-known heroes of the twentieth century, Walter Clay Lowdermilk. An American expert on land usage, he formulated and popularized the most successful techniques of soil reclamation and watershed management around the globe. Today the Department of Agricultural Engineering of Technion University in Israel bears the lapidary name of this Christian from the US, and the world-leading feats of Israeli water conservation attest in part to the lasting power of his influential books.

      A Rhodes Scholar at Oxford who went on to earn his doctorate in forestry and geology at Berkeley, Lowdermilk focused on “reading the land” for its tales of human civilization. He gauged cultures by their successes and failures in expanding the land’s capacity to sustain human life. A slim U.S. Department of Agriculture volume with a grand title, Conquest of the Land through 7000 Years, summarized many of his findings in 1953. It sold millions of copies and shaped the views of several generations of soil conservationists.

      Married to a Christian missionary, Lowdermilk joined the faculty at Nanking University in northern China early in his career to find remedies for the great famine there in 1920 and 1921. Rejecting the prevailing theory of climate change as the cause of the tragedy, Lowdermilk and his Chinese colleagues identified the real culprit to be the enormous load of silt borne down the Yellow River every year. Deposited in the lowlands of the river, it caused floods on the plains and depleted the up-country of soils. “In the presence of such tragic scenes,” he wrote, “I resolved to devote my lifetime to study of ways to conserve the lands on which mankind depends.”

      Becoming Assistant Chief in charge of research for the U.S. Soil Conservation Service (now part of the U.S. Department of Agriculture) in 1938 he embarked on a global mission to determine how the experience of older civilizations could guide the U.S. in surmounting its own agricultural crises of the dust bowl and the gullied soil erosion in the South. This 25,000-mile peregrination ended in the British Mandate of Palestine, where he confronted the question of how the “land flowing with milk and honey” described in the Bible had become a wasteland.

      In ancient times, as he knew, the region was largely self-sufficient, with a population of millions, producing four staples for export – olive oil from the hills, wine from the plains, dates from the Jordan Valley, and grains, chiefly from Trans Jordan. Replete with forests, and teeming with sheep and goats, the landscape evoked the plenitude of the European Mediterranean basin.

      As Lowdermilk observed, the British Mandate territory, though far smaller in area, is topographically similar to Southern California. “The outstanding difference between the two areas is their geological structure,” Lowdermilk found, “and in this respect Palestine is more favored,” with better soils and affluent springs in its mountain valleys.

      By 1939, however, when Lowdermilk arrived in the country, it was largely an environmental disaster. As he recounted in his 1944 book Palestine, Land of Promise, “when Jewish colonists first began their work in 1882 . . . the soils were eroded off the uplands to bedrock over fully one half the hills; streams across the coastal plain were choked with erosional debris from the hills to form pestilential marshes infested with dreaded malaria; the fair cities and elaborate works of ancient times were left in doleful ruins.” Thousands of abandoned village sites pocked the countryside as Hebrew, Greco-Roman and Byzantine periods of prosperity, with their populations of millions, had given way to waste and ruin and radical population decline under Muslims after 1100 AD. By 1931, in the most reliable census the British took of a larger expanse of Palestine (including parts of Lebanon), the land held somewhere around a million people, less than a tenth of today’s population in Israel and the current territories. Around the current Tel Aviv, Lowdermilk was told “no more than 100 miserable families lived in huts.” Jericho, once shaded by luxuriant balsams, was treeless.

      Lowdermilk wrote, “Those who can read the record that has been written in the land know that this state of decadence is not normal.” As the Jerusalem native and Arab traveler Al-Mukaddasi had reported during the 10th century, Palestine was a fecund land of industry and agriculture, famous for its marble quarries and its “incomparable quinces.” But Arab invaders from the desert brought a primitive culture that destroyed agriculture and eventually plunged Palestine into its “age of darkness.”

      “During most of the past 1200 years,” Lowdermilk wrote, “lands of the Near East have been gradually wasting away; its cities and works have fallen into neglect and ruin; its peoples also slipped backward into a state of utter decline. . . .” The decay reached its nadir during “the four centuries of Turkish rule, from 1517 to 1918,” with “appallingly high taxes on every tree and vine, leading to a treeless wasteland.”

      What amazed Lowdermilk, though – and changed his life – was not the 1,200-year deterioration, but the feats of reclamation in both highlands and lowlands accomplished by relatively small groups of Jewish settlers in only the previous five decades. As one of many examples of valley reclamation, he tells the story of the settlement of Petah Tikva, established by Jews from Jerusalem in 1878, in defiance of warnings from physicians who saw the area outside what is now Tel Aviv as hopelessly infested with malarial