Practical Statistics for Nursing and Health Care. Jim Fowler

Practical Statistics for Nursing and Health Care - Jim Fowler


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is to include in each cluster the various characteristics that the population might contain. The rationale for both stratified and quota sampling is the control of factors (e.g. age or sex differences) that are known (or suspected) to confound the response being investigated. In cluster sampling, the idea is not to have a homogeneous group, but one which is representative of the cluster through either a census (100% sample) or, more usually, by taking a representative sample of the cluster.

      Cluster sampling is commonly used when the population covers an area that can be divided by region (e.g. GP practices). A small number of these clusters is selected at random (using simple random sampling). Every subject in the chosen clusters is then included in the sample. One key problem with cluster sampling is choosing appropriate clusters.

      Choice of correct survey method is extremely important. The best approaches to sampling from a finite population, as in our asthma example, are to use either a simple random sample or a stratified random sample. Stratification is used when it is known that the response of interest is related to some factor (e.g. age or sex).

      Choice of appropriate sampling method is not always obvious, and may involve a mixture of the methods we have described. Always seek advice if you are in doubt, as the cost of advice in relation to the cost of obtaining the sample is very small. Scheaffer et al. (2011) provide a very good introduction to all aspects of survey sampling.

      Measures that describe a variable of a sample are called statistics. It is from the sample statistics that the parameters of a population are estimated. Thus, the average weight of a sample of new‐born male babies is the statistic that is used to estimate the average weight (parameter) of a population of new‐born male babies. An easy way to remember this is: Statistics is to sample as parameter is to population.

      Sometimes populations appear to be rather abstract or hypothetical concepts, in which case their parameters are also hypothetical. We can calculate an ‘average temperature’ from a sample of 10 observations collected from a patient over a day. What exactly is the parameter that this statistic is estimating? It is the hypothetical ‘population’ of all temperature observations that could be made during the observation period.

      Descriptive statistics are used to organize, summarize and describe measures of a sample. No predictions or inferences are made regarding population parameters. Inferential (or deductive) statistics, on the other hand, are used to infer or predict population parameters from sample measures. This is done by a process of inductive reasoning based on the mathematical theory of probability. Fortunately, only a very minimal knowledge of the mathematical theory of probability is needed in order to apply the rules of the statistical methods, and the little that is needed will be explained. However, no‐one can predict exactly a population parameter from a sample statistic, but only indicate with a stated degree of confidence within what range it lies. The degree of confidence depends upon the sample selection procedures and the statistical techniques used.

      

      Statistical methods commonly fall into one of two classes – parametric and non‐parametric. Parametric methods are the oldest, and although most often used by statisticians, may not always be the most appropriate for analysing medical data. Parametric methods make strict assumptions that may not always hold true.

      More recently, non‐parametric methods have been devised that are not based upon stringent assumptions. These are frequently more suitable for processing the sort of data we collect. Moreover, they are generally simpler to apply since they avoid the laborious and repetitive calculations involved in some of the parametric methods, although, as we note elsewhere, computers that are used intelligently can help with this. The circumstances under which a particular method should be used will be described as it arises. A summary showing which methods should be applied in particular circumstances is provided in Section 11.8.

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